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Learn MoreTwitch Predictions are a built-in engagement feature that lets viewers bet channel points on the outcome of an event you define โ a boss fight, a clutch round, whether you’ll rank up this game. You create a prediction with two outcomes, viewers wager their channel points within a time window, and you resolve it when the event concludes. Winners share the points pool proportional to their bet.
Predictions drive engagement because they create direct stakes for viewers โ they’re not just watching, they’re invested in the outcome. Set one up in under a minute from the Creator Dashboard or directly through your chat.
TL;DR
- Create predictions in Creator Dashboard โ Stream Manager โ Quick Actions โ Start Prediction
- Or run predictions mid-stream via chat command:
/prediction [title] [outcome1] [outcome2] [duration]- Viewers bet channel points; winners split the pool proportionally to their wager
- You must resolve the prediction manually (declare winner or refund) โ they don’t auto-resolve
- Best used for: ranked game matches, boss attempts, “will I win this fight?”, content votes
- Predictions are free to use for all Twitch streamers โ no affiliate or partner requirement
What Twitch Predictions are (and aren’t)
Predictions โ viewers bet channel points on one of two outcomes you define. Losers lose their points; winners receive a proportional share of the total pool. Example: 1,000 viewers bet on “Win” vs “Lose” in a ranked match. If “Win” side bet 50,000 points and “Lose” side bet 30,000, winning voters split the 80,000 pool proportional to their share.
Polls (different feature) โ viewers vote on content choices without wagering channel points. Use Polls for “what game should I play next?” decisions. Use Predictions when there’s a real outcome with a right/wrong answer.
Predictions require channel points to be enabled on your channel. They’re available to all Twitch streamers โ affiliate and partner tier not required.
How to create a Twitch Prediction: step-by-step
Method 1: Creator Dashboard (before or during stream)
- Go to dashboard.twitch.tv
- In the left panel, click Stream Manager
- In Quick Actions, click + Add Quick Action โ find Start Prediction โ add it
- Click the Start Prediction quick action
- Fill in:
- Title: The event (e.g., “Will I win this ranked match?”)
- Outcome 1 name: “Yes” / “Win” / “They Will” โ the positive outcome
- Outcome 2 name: “No” / “Lose” / “They Won’t” โ the negative outcome
- Prediction window: how many seconds viewers have to bet (30โ1,800 seconds = up to 30 minutes)
- Click Start Prediction
The prediction widget appears in your stream chat and on your channel page. Viewers immediately see the betting interface.
Method 2: Chat command (fastest during stream)
Type in your stream chat:
/prediction [title] [outcome1] [outcome2] [duration in seconds]
Example:
/prediction "Do I rank up this game?" Win Lose 120
This creates a 2-minute betting window without leaving your game.
Method 3: StreamElements or Streamlabs bot integration
Both StreamElements and Streamlabs can trigger predictions automatically based on game events, chat commands from moderators, or scheduled triggers. If you want automated predictions (e.g., “create a prediction at the start of every ranked match”), configure your chatbot’s prediction module.
How to resolve a Prediction
Once the betting window closes, Twitch holds the points and waits for you to declare the outcome. Predictions do not auto-resolve โ you must close them manually.
To resolve:
- In Stream Manager, the active prediction shows a “Lock” and “End Prediction” button
- Click End Prediction
- Select the winning outcome โ or select Cancel/Refund to return all points to voters (use this if the event was inconclusive or you made a mistake)
- Click Submit
The winner announcement appears in chat. Points are distributed automatically within seconds.
Time limit: Predictions expire after 30 days if not resolved. After the prediction window closes (the betting phase), there’s no formal deadline for resolution โ but resolve promptly while the context is fresh for your viewers.
Best practices for Twitch Predictions
Make the outcome unambiguous: “Will I win this ranked match?” is clear. “Will this go well?” is not. If viewers can argue about whether you resolved it correctly, it undermines trust in the feature.
Set an appropriate betting window: For fast outcomes (one PvP fight, a single boss attempt), 60โ120 seconds is standard. For longer outcomes (will I rank up during this stream session?), use 5โ10 minutes.
Use predictions to manufacture peak engagement moments: A prediction creates a conversation in chat before, during, and after the event. The announcement, the betting debate, and the resolution are all engagement spikes. Stack predictions strategically around your stream’s high-drama moments.
Moderate your point economy: If your channel has hyper-inflation (viewers with millions of channel points they don’t use), predictions give high-balance holders something to spend on. If your channel has a healthy economy, keep prediction pools modest so wins feel meaningful.
Don’t over-use predictions: Running back-to-back predictions flattens their novelty. One to three well-timed predictions per stream session is a common cadence for most game types.
Predictions vs Polls: when to use each
| Use case | Feature to use |
|---|---|
| What game should I play next? | Poll |
| Will I win this boss fight? | Prediction |
| Choose my character/loadout | Poll |
| Do I get a kill this round? | Prediction |
| Pick tonight’s stream category | Poll |
| Will chat guess the ending? | Prediction |
| Rate my last clip (A/B choice) | Poll |
| Any two-outcome real event | Prediction |
Channel points setup required
Predictions rely on channel points. If you haven’t enabled them:
- Creator Dashboard โ Viewer Rewards โ Channel Points
- Toggle Channel Points On
- Optionally customize: point name, icon, how many points viewers earn per minute watched, per raid, etc.
The default settings (100 points per 5 minutes watched) are functional for most channels. Viewers need a point balance to participate in predictions โ a fresh channel with no point history will have viewers with small balances at first.
Tracking prediction results
Twitch doesn’t provide detailed analytics on prediction outcomes in the standard Creator Dashboard. For tracking:
- Keep a stream notes doc with prediction titles and outcomes
- Third-party tools like Twitch Tracker (twitchtracker.com) show some engagement metrics but not prediction-specific data
- The chat log for your stream VOD shows the prediction announcement and resolution
Frequently Asked Questions
Do I need to be a Twitch affiliate to use Predictions?
Yes. Viewers use Channel Points to bet on the outcomes of Twitch Predictions. Because the Channel Points feature is only available to Twitch Affiliates and Partners, you must reach Affiliate status before you can start running predictions on your stream.
What happens if I forget to resolve a prediction?
The prediction remains open indefinitely until you resolve or cancel it. Viewers see it as unresolved. After 30 days, Twitch automatically cancels it and refunds all points.
Can moderators start or resolve predictions?
Yes. Moderators with the “Manage Predictions” permission can create, lock, and resolve predictions on your behalf. Assign this permission in your mod settings or trust your mod team via the Moderation settings in Creator Dashboard.
How many channel points do viewers bet on average?
Varies by channel point economy. In mature channels, you’ll see 500โ5,000 point bets common. In new channels where viewers just accumulated points, bets of 50โ200 are normal.
Can I award bonus points to prediction winners beyond the channel point pool?
Not through the native prediction system. The pool is redistributed among winners only. For additional rewards, you’d need to manually grant channel points via the Creator Dashboard โ Viewer Rewards โ Manage Points (allows manual point grants).
Do predictions work during raids?
You can start a prediction before or during a raid, but viewers who arrive via raid need an existing point balance to participate. New arrivals with 0 points can’t bet until they accumulate some by watching.
Conclusion
Twitch Predictions take under two minutes to create and generate reliable viewer investment in outcomes you’d be playing through anyway. The key is pairing them with genuinely uncertain, high-stakes moments in your stream โ not trivial ones that feel forced.
After your stream session, your prediction spikes often correspond to your best gameplay moments. Eklipse processes your Twitch VOD automatically after each session and detects these high-engagement moments โ kills, clutch rounds, reaction spikes โ returning 10โ20 formatted clips for TikTok and Shorts. The moments your viewers were most invested in are also the moments that make the best clips.
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